
Mali, Burkina Faso and Niger announced immediate withdrawal from ECOWAS
In January 2024, the military-led governments of Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger announced their immediate withdrawal from the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS). This decision was driven by their dissatisfaction with ECOWAS's "inhumane" sanctions and its perceived failure to address escalating security challenges in the Sahel region.
Following their departure, the three nations established the Alliance of Sahel States (AES), a confederation aimed at enhancing cooperation in foreign policy, security, and economic development. The AES seeks to ensure the free movement of people and goods and plans to create a joint investment bank.
In response to the withdrawal, ECOWAS approved a transitional timeline for the exit of these countries, spanning from January 29 to July 29, 2025. During this period, ECOWAS intends to keep channels open for dialogue and mediation.
The departure of Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger from ECOWAS marks a significant shift in West African regional dynamics, reflecting deepening divides over governance and security strategies.
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Strategic Interdiction of Fuel Supply Lines and Hostage Leverage by JNIM
On the morning of 29 January 2026, Mali experienced one of the most consequential jihadist operations of recent months, not due to its symbolic value, but because of its systemic strategic impact. A large fuel convoy originating from Senegal and transiting through western Mali along the Diboli–Kayes corridor was ambushed and neutralized by an estimated 100 fighters affiliated with Katiba Macina, a core component of the Group for the Support of Islam and Muslims (JNIM).
Niamey Airport Attack: Islamic State Claims Responsibility
Less than 48 hours after the assault on Diori Hamani International Airport in Niamey on 29 January 2026, the IS-Sahel formally claimed responsibility. ASA assesses this confirms the attack was not an isolated security breach, but a deliberate, high-value operation aimed at Niger’s military and strategic infrastructure.
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