African Security Analysis
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Security Analysis and Consultancy for Public, Private and Government Sectors.
Security Updates
Nigeria: Death of Brigadier-General O.O. Braimoh – Operational Failure, ISWAP Escalation, and Structural Vulnerabilities in the North-East Insurgency
The killing of Brigadier-General O.O. Braimoh, commander of the 29th Brigade under Operation HADIN KAI, during an ISWAP-led attack in Benisheikh, Borno State, on 9 April 2026, marks a significant operational and symbolic setback for the Nigerian military.
Kenya Fuel Crisis: Cartel Exploitation Transforms External Supply Shock into Domestic Governance Failure
Kenya’s ongoing fuel shortage, initially triggered by Hormuz-related supply disruption, has been significantly worsened by domestic cartel activity within the petroleum sector.
African Energy Summit Boycott: Ghana Signals Strategic Pushback Against External Control of African Energy Policy
Ghana has officially withdrawn from the African Energy Summit scheduled in London from 12–14 May 2026, joining Mozambique and other African producers in an expanding boycott.
Russia’s Travel Warning on Morocco: Legal Risk Narrative Signals Broader Geopolitical Friction
Russia has issued an official warning advising its citizens against travel to Morocco, citing the risk of arrest and possible extradition to the United States.
Our Offers
ASA Situation Reports™
AU Peace and Security Architecture
The African Union’s peace and security architecture is entering a credibility test. The continent has built a sophisticated institutional framework for conflict prevention, crisis response, peace support operations, and regional security coordination.
Transnational Organised Crime in Africa
Transnational organised crime in Africa has moved beyond the category of secondary security concern. It is now a structural driver of conflict, institutional erosion, illicit political financing, and armed group resilience across multiple theatres.
AU Peace and Security Council — Nigeria’s Chairmanship, Climate-Security Nexus, and the Operational Gap
Nigeria’s assumption of the African Union Peace and Security Council (PSC) chairmanship in May 2026 brings forward an agenda of real strategic importance, but one constrained by familiar institutional limits.
South Sudan: Political Erosion, Conflict Escalation, and the Approaching Tipping Point
South Sudan is moving toward a dangerous inflection point. The shift is no longer gradual. It is accelerating. The country is transitioning from a fragile post-conflict arrangement toward a pre-conflict relapse environment in which political erosion, armed escalation, and humanitarian collapse are beginning to reinforce one another more directly.
Armed Cartel Governance, Maritime Enforcement Gaps, and the Structural Failure of Political Reunification
Libya has completed a transformation that many international frameworks still hesitate to acknowledge directly. It is no longer best understood as a post-conflict state in fragile transition. It has become a cartelised governance system in durable stagnation.
Peacekeeping Under Pressure and the Erosion of a Demilitarised Buffer Zone
Abyei is no longer functioning as a stabilized buffer zone between Sudan and South Sudan. It is evolving, rapidly and without effective international countermeasure, into a contested security space where peacekeeping mechanisms are being overtaken by the realities they were designed to manage.
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Important decisions demand solid foundations, and that's what we provide. Over the years, we've earned the trust of current, former, and even aspiring presidents, alongside high-ranking military officials, CEOs, and NGOs— something we are deeply proud of.
As trusted advisors and analysts, we offer the critical insights and understanding these leaders need to navigate complex security environments. Through long-standing personal relationships, we've supported them for years, ensuring they have the right information to make informed and impactful decisions when it matters most.
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