African Security Analysis
We
de-risk
Africa
Security Analysis and Consultancy for Public, Private and Government Sectors.
Security Updates
Gulf of Guinea: Ghana Escalates Maritime Dispute with Togo to International Tribunal
On 20 February 2026, Ghana formally initiated proceedings before the International Tribunal for the Law of the Sea (ITLOS), seeking judicial settlement of its long-standing maritime boundary dispute with Togo.
RSF Capture of Al-Tina Escalates Darfur Control and Triggers Chad Border Closure
Sudan’s conflict has entered a new escalation phase following the RSF announced capture of the strategic border town of Al-Tina on February 21. The development consolidates RSF territorial dominance across much of Darfur and places paramilitary forces directly along the Chad–Sudan frontier.
Emergence of the “NFSL” Self-Defence Group Triggers Constitutional Alarm and Parliamentary Scrutiny in Liberia
The sudden emergence of the National Fula Security of Liberia (NFSL) has generated significant political and security concern in Liberia. The appearance of individuals in uniforms resembling official law enforcement attire—circulated widely through viral social media footage—has triggered institutional alarm in a country still marked by the legacy of civil conflict.
France–Algeria Security Reset
The visit of French Interior Minister Laurent Nuñez to Algiers marks a calibrated but strategically meaningful reset in Franco-Algerian security relations. After months of diplomatic friction, the reactivation of operational channels reflects a shared recognition: Algeria remains an indispensable actor in the evolving Sahel–Mediterranean security architecture.
Our Offers
ASA Situation Reports™
Red Sea Strategy and Strategic Realignment
Israeli President Isaac Herzog arrived in Addis Ababa on February 24 for a two-day official visit carrying significant geopolitical weight. While formally framed as bilateral talks with Ethiopian President Taye Atske-Selassie and Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed, the visit reflects broader strategic calculations.
Indian Ocean Strategic Recalibration
The January 23 arrival of U.S. military assets in Moroni—two MV-22 Ospreys and a KC-130 Hercules—marked more than a routine military exchange. It signaled a strategic recalibration in the southern Indian Ocean, where maritime security, transnational crime, and regional power dynamics are increasingly intertwined.
Central African Republic at a Strategic Crossroads
As of 23 February 2026, CAR stands at a delicate juncture between incremental stabilization and persistent structural fragility. The UN Security Council’s latest review—based on the Secretary-General’s report (S/2026/71)—comes in the immediate aftermath of the 28 December 2025 combined elections and amid evolving security dynamics.
Legal Sovereignty Versus Geopolitical Transaction — Algeria and the Polisario Front Confront Washington’s Accelerated Mediation
Negotiations over Western Sahara have entered a decisive diplomatic phase in Washington following discreet preliminary consultations in Madrid. The United States appears intent on accelerating a political formula before May, reframing a decolonization dispute as a broader geopolitical and energy stabilization file.
Nigeria Finalizes $1.4 Billion Italian Airpower Acquisition
Nigeria has secured a $1.4 billion defence agreement with Italian aerospace firm Leonardo for the acquisition of approximately 24 M-346FA light combat aircraft and 10 AW-109 attack helicopters. Deliveries are scheduled throughout 2026.
Sudan Conflict Escalation Brief
The UK has imposed fresh sanctions on senior figures from both the SAF and the RSF, marking one of the clearest external acknowledgments yet that Sudan’s war is spiralling beyond conventional containment.
We advise the leaders
Important decisions demand solid foundations, and that's what we provide. Over the years, we've earned the trust of current, former, and even aspiring presidents, alongside high-ranking military officials, CEOs, and NGOs— something we are deeply proud of.
As trusted advisors and analysts, we offer the critical insights and understanding these leaders need to navigate complex security environments. Through long-standing personal relationships, we've supported them for years, ensuring they have the right information to make informed and impactful decisions when it matters most.
Our clients
REQUEST FOR INTEREST
How can we help you de-risk Africa?
Please enter your contact information and your requirements and needs for us to come back to you with a relevant proposal.
