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Analysis
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Updates
From Kayes to Crisis: Jihadist Attacks Signal Shift in Mali’s Insurgency Landscape
In the early hours of July 1, 2025, the security situation in Mali’s Kayes region took a dramatic turn when more than 30 armed militants from Katiba Macina, a faction ofJNIM, launched a series of coordinated assaults. These attacks took place alongside simultaneous operations in Ségou, signalling a deliberate and calculated escalation by the group.
Canadian Visa Fraud Surge in Africa: A Strategic Challenge with Long-Term Implications
In recent months, visa scams involving Canadian immigration have multiplied across the African continent. From major cities like Kinshasa and Abidjan to regional towns in Senegal and Cameroon, thousands of hopeful applicants have been lured into fraudulent schemes promising expedited access to Canada. These schemes—often orchestrated by sophisticated networks—range from forged documents and fake consular agents to entire ghost agencies collecting fees under false pretences.
France-Madagascar Diplomatic Stalemate over Scattered Islands (Îles Éparses)
The second session of the Franco-Malagasy Joint Commission addressing the longstanding territorial dispute over the Scattered Islands ("Îles Éparses") concluded on June 30, 2025, in Paris, without significant progress. Despite hopes that the meeting would yield concrete outcomes, the discussions reached another impasse, further straining diplomatic relations between France and Madagascar.
Abduction of Three Indian Nationals in Kayes, Mali
On July 1, 2025, three Indian nationals were abducted from a cement factory in the city of Kayes, located in western Mali near the border with Senegal. The kidnapping occurred during a coordinated armed assault on the factory, reportedly carried out by militants linked to the al-Qaeda-affiliated group Jama’at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM).
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