
Intense Clashes in South and West Sudan
Fierce fighting in southern and western Sudan has claimed at least 65 lives and left more than 130 wounded.
In South Kordofan, artillery strikes on the state capital, Kadugli, killed at least 40 people and injured 70. The attack, allegedly carried out by the Sudan People's Liberation Movement-North (SPLM-N) led by Abdel Aziz al-Hilu, targeted a bustling local market. Governor Mohamed Ibrahim condemned the assault, vowing to drive rebel forces from the surrounding mountains, calling the attack an attempt to destabilize the region. The SPLM-N has been engaged in ongoing clashes with both the Sudanese army and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF).
Meanwhile, in Darfur, a military airstrike on Nyala, the capital of South Darfur, resulted in 25 deaths and 63 injuries. The RSF accused the army of deploying "barrel bombs" against civilians in multiple neighbourhoods. Nyala, currently under RSF control, is located 195 kilometres from El-Fasher—the besieged capital of North Darfur and the army’s last stronghold in the region.
El-Fasher, home to nearly two million people, has witnessed some of the most intense fighting as government forces struggle to maintain control. The UN's migration agency reported that between April 2024 and January 2025, over 600,000 people were displaced from North Darfur. The International Organization for Migration documented 95 incidents in the state, with more than half occurring in El-Fasher, leading to the displacement of approximately 605,257 individuals.
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Benin: Northern Attacks, Fuel Pressure, and Regional Security Cooperation Define the Incoming Government’s Stability Challenge
Benin is entering a more difficult security and economic phase. The March attacks in Alibori and Atacora confirm that JNIM remains capable of striking Beninese military positions, seizing equipment, and operating across border areas linked to Niger, Burkina Faso, and Nigeria.
Mali: Humanitarian Flight Suspension and Expanding Extremist Pressure Signal a Deteriorating National Security Environment
Mali’s security environment is no longer defined by isolated insurgent pressure in the north and centre. The pattern now points to a wider national threat picture: JNIM continues to shape conditions in central and northern Mali while pushing deeper into the south and west; ISSP remains active in Gao and Ménaka; northern armed groups retain the ability to challenge Malian military positions; and humanitarian access is increasingly vulnerable to state-imposed restrictions as well as armed-group pressure.
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