
Urgent Security Warning – Extremist Networks Exploiting Somali Diplomatic Passports
There is growing concern that extremist elements have gained access to Somali diplomatic and service passports through unofficial channels, bypassing established security protocols. According to information received by African Security Analysis (ASA), can unregulated issuance of these high-category passports pose a direct national and regional security threat, by allowing individuals with unknown affiliations to travel freely under diplomatic cover.
A failure to enforce strict verification measures will enable unauthorized groups, including those with extremist links, to exploit Somalia’s immigration system. This might not only undermine Somalia’s diplomatic credibility but also increase the risk of international travel bans, stricter visa restrictions, and heightened scrutiny on Somali passport holders.
Without urgent intervention, the situation could escalate into a broader security crisis, affecting Somalia’s regional relations and compromising counterterrorism efforts. Immediate action is needed to secure passport issuance, dismantle illicit access networks, and restore international trust in Somalia’s immigration system.
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Sudan Conflict Update
Sudan’s conflict continues to evolve along three interlinked lines: (1) the SAF are expanding reliance on a broad ecosystem of allied armed groups and volunteer formations; (2) aerial and drone warfare in RSF-controlled areas is generating acute civilian harm and damaging survival-critical infrastructure; and (3) international actors are tightening targeted sanctions against RSF commanders accused of mass atrocities in Darfur, increasing the political cost of RSF leadership while producing limited immediate battlefield constraint.
Guinea’s New Government and the Structural Test of Mining-Led Expansion
Guinea has entered a new phase following the conclusion of elections that formalize the transition initiated after the September 2021 removal of President Alpha Condé. With President Mamadi Doumbouya consolidating authority and Prime Minister Amadou Bah Oury forming a new cabinet on February 4, 2026, the administration’s immediate task is clear: translate strong extractive-sector expansion into tangible improvements in living standards.
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