
Prison Break in Maputo
Mozambique is facing a severe crisis, marked by a large-scale prison escape, violent unrest, and contested presidential election results. The escape of between 2,500 to 6,000 inmates from a high-security prison in Matola today highlights the critical vulnerabilities in the country’s security forces.
This event is indicative of a larger issue—a state struggling to maintain control over its institutions and territory. The ease with which prisoners overpowered guards and seized their weapons raises troubling concerns about the capacity of Mozambique's security forces and the integrity of its prison system.
The violent unrest that erupted in Maputo, sparked by disputed election results, has laid bare deep-rooted tensions and divisions within the nation. The opposition's allegations of election rigging, coupled with the ruling party's refusal to concede, have created a highly charged environment, leaving many citizens feeling disenfranchised and disillusioned.
Discover More
Sudan: The Consolidation of Partition
Sudan's war is increasingly evolving from a contest for control of one state into the construction of two rival territorial and administrative orders. SAF hold the centre, east, and the Red Sea seat of government at Port Sudan.
The Central Sahel
The central Sahel has crossed a threshold that the vocabulary of "counter-terrorism" no longer captures. Al-Qaeda's regional affiliate, JNIM, and the ISSP now hold, between them, more territory than at any point since the 2012 Malian collapse — and JNIM has moved beyond attrition warfare into the deliberate substitution of the state, pairing military pressure with taxation, dispute adjudication, and service provision in the zones it controls.
REQUEST FOR INTEREST
How can we help you de-risk Africa?
Please enter your contact information and your requirements and needs for us to come back to you with a relevant proposal.


