
Potential Targets and Anti-Terrorist Operations
Islamic State supporters have identified a list of potential targets for 2025, including:
- Amsterdam Dance Event
- Cannes Film Festival
- Glastonbury Festival (United Kingdom)
- Grand Ole Opry's 100th anniversary (Nashville)
- 100th anniversary of the pony swimming event in Chincoteague, Virginia
- Vienna ball season (Austria)
- Oktoberfest (Germany)
- St. Patrick's Day (Ireland)
- San Fermin Festival (Pamplona)
- Venice Carnival (Italy)
Additionally, in Ivory Coast, a major anti-terrorist operation dismantled a terrorist network linked to a significant extremist organization in Abidjan. On July 28, 2024, six foreign individuals were arrested. These suspects were allegedly planning to infiltrate Europe and were part of a broader network extending to another region, including Madagascar. The operation was facilitated through international cooperation with intelligence services from other countries. This incident reveals a new form of threat for the region, as it marks the first time suspects from the Middle East have been reported in Ivory Coast.
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Guinea’s New Government and the Structural Test of Mining-Led Expansion
Guinea has entered a new phase following the conclusion of elections that formalize the transition initiated after the September 2021 removal of President Alpha Condé. With President Mamadi Doumbouya consolidating authority and Prime Minister Amadou Bah Oury forming a new cabinet on February 4, 2026, the administration’s immediate task is clear: translate strong extractive-sector expansion into tangible improvements in living standards.
South Africa Signs CAEPA With China and Accedes to AfrEximBank
Pretoria’s recent economic announcements include (1) the signing of the China–Africa Economic Partnership Agreement (CAEPA) in Beijing on 6 February, and (2) formal accession to AfrEximBank on 4 February, alongside an $8 billion country programme.
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