Potential Targets and Anti-Terrorist Operations
Islamic State supporters have identified a list of potential targets for 2025, including:
- Amsterdam Dance Event
- Cannes Film Festival
- Glastonbury Festival (United Kingdom)
- Grand Ole Opry's 100th anniversary (Nashville)
- 100th anniversary of the pony swimming event in Chincoteague, Virginia
- Vienna ball season (Austria)
- Oktoberfest (Germany)
- St. Patrick's Day (Ireland)
- San Fermin Festival (Pamplona)
- Venice Carnival (Italy)
Additionally, in Ivory Coast, a major anti-terrorist operation dismantled a terrorist network linked to a significant extremist organization in Abidjan. On July 28, 2024, six foreign individuals were arrested. These suspects were allegedly planning to infiltrate Europe and were part of a broader network extending to another region, including Madagascar. The operation was facilitated through international cooperation with intelligence services from other countries. This incident reveals a new form of threat for the region, as it marks the first time suspects from the Middle East have been reported in Ivory Coast.
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Sudan: The Consolidation of Partition
Sudan's war is increasingly evolving from a contest for control of one state into the construction of two rival territorial and administrative orders. SAF hold the centre, east, and the Red Sea seat of government at Port Sudan.
The Central Sahel
The central Sahel has crossed a threshold that the vocabulary of "counter-terrorism" no longer captures. Al-Qaeda's regional affiliate, JNIM, and the ISSP now hold, between them, more territory than at any point since the 2012 Malian collapse — and JNIM has moved beyond attrition warfare into the deliberate substitution of the state, pairing military pressure with taxation, dispute adjudication, and service provision in the zones it controls.
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