Conflict in Sudan between the SAF and RSF has escalated
The ongoing conflict in Sudan between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and Rapid Support Forces (RSF) has escalated, with the SAF making significant territorial gains, including the recapture of Wad Madani. The city's strategic importance has made its loss a severe blow to the RSF, further compounded by the defection of a high-ranking RSF commander, Abuagla Keikal. The SAF has also made progress in Khartoum and Omdurman, though civilians continue to suffer from indiscriminate violence involving various forms of remote warfare. Over 120 civilians were recently killed in Omdurman, highlighting the devastating impact of the conflict on non-combatants.
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Ethiopia at the Brink: The Return of War in Tigray and the Eritrean Dimension
Ethiopia is in the early stages of what may become its most dangerous security crisis since the 2020–2022 Tigray war. In late September, the TPLF announced a "defensive war" alongside six other armed groups under the banner of the Alliance for Survival coalition, seeking the removal of Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed.
Renewed Jihadist Rivalry Threatens to Reshape the Eastern Sahel
Renewed fighting between JNIM and ISSP around Tessit in eastern Mali and Oudalan province in northern Burkina Faso signals a potentially significant escalation in the struggle for control of the tri-border region.
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