Conflict in Sudan between the SAF and RSF has escalated
The ongoing conflict in Sudan between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and Rapid Support Forces (RSF) has escalated, with the SAF making significant territorial gains, including the recapture of Wad Madani. The city's strategic importance has made its loss a severe blow to the RSF, further compounded by the defection of a high-ranking RSF commander, Abuagla Keikal. The SAF has also made progress in Khartoum and Omdurman, though civilians continue to suffer from indiscriminate violence involving various forms of remote warfare. Over 120 civilians were recently killed in Omdurman, highlighting the devastating impact of the conflict on non-combatants.
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Guinea’s New Government and the Structural Test of Mining-Led Expansion
Guinea has entered a new phase following the conclusion of elections that formalize the transition initiated after the September 2021 removal of President Alpha Condé. With President Mamadi Doumbouya consolidating authority and Prime Minister Amadou Bah Oury forming a new cabinet on February 4, 2026, the administration’s immediate task is clear: translate strong extractive-sector expansion into tangible improvements in living standards.
South Africa Signs CAEPA With China and Accedes to AfrEximBank
Pretoria’s recent economic announcements include (1) the signing of the China–Africa Economic Partnership Agreement (CAEPA) in Beijing on 6 February, and (2) formal accession to AfrEximBank on 4 February, alongside an $8 billion country programme.
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