Attacks Target Security Forces in Somalia
Banaadir:
On 11th February 2025, Al-Shabaab forces carried out a bomb attack targeting apostate militias stationed in Gubta, specifically in the Tiida area. The attack resulted in the death of one soldier, identified as Indhoos, and left two others wounded.
Lower Shabelle:
Same night, Al-Shabaab forces launched a heavy assault on an African Union military base located in Golweyn, near Buulo Mareer. The extent of the damage and casualties remainscurrently unclear.
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Sudan Conflict Update
Sudan’s conflict continues to evolve along three interlinked lines: (1) the SAF are expanding reliance on a broad ecosystem of allied armed groups and volunteer formations; (2) aerial and drone warfare in RSF-controlled areas is generating acute civilian harm and damaging survival-critical infrastructure; and (3) international actors are tightening targeted sanctions against RSF commanders accused of mass atrocities in Darfur, increasing the political cost of RSF leadership while producing limited immediate battlefield constraint.
Guinea’s New Government and the Structural Test of Mining-Led Expansion
Guinea has entered a new phase following the conclusion of elections that formalize the transition initiated after the September 2021 removal of President Alpha Condé. With President Mamadi Doumbouya consolidating authority and Prime Minister Amadou Bah Oury forming a new cabinet on February 4, 2026, the administration’s immediate task is clear: translate strong extractive-sector expansion into tangible improvements in living standards.
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