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African
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Analysis

Security Analysis and Consultancy for Public, Private and Government Sectors.

Uganda - 25 maj 2025 Uganda Early Warning Alert on Emerging Rebel Threats
DRC, Rwanda, Kenya - 13 apr. 2025 BREAKING NEWS: Joseph Kabila's Return to DRC
Mali, Algeria, Burkina Faso, Niger - 9 apr. 2025 Emerging Risk-Escalating tensions between Mali and Algerian border
Somalia - 1 feb. 2025 Urgent Update on Drone Attack Plot in Somalia
DRC - 27 jan. 2025 Planned demonstrations in Kinshasa on Monday 27th January
DRC - 25 jan. 2025 M23 has issued a 48-hours warning to DRC military troops
Mozambique - 28 nov. 2024 Political unrest in Moçambique
Uganda - 25 maj 2025 Uganda Early Warning Alert on Emerging Rebel Threats
DRC, Rwanda, Kenya - 13 apr. 2025 BREAKING NEWS: Joseph Kabila's Return to DRC
Mali, Algeria, Burkina Faso, Niger - 9 apr. 2025 Emerging Risk-Escalating tensions between Mali and Algerian border
Somalia - 1 feb. 2025 Urgent Update on Drone Attack Plot in Somalia
DRC - 27 jan. 2025 Planned demonstrations in Kinshasa on Monday 27th January
DRC - 25 jan. 2025 M23 has issued a 48-hours warning to DRC military troops
Mozambique - 28 nov. 2024 Political unrest in Moçambique
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Updates

Niger, Burkina Faso, Nigeria 22 aug. 2025 18:36

Flash Report: Niger – Neutralisation of Boko Haram Leader Bakoura

On 15 August 2025, Nigerien forces conducted a precision operation targeting Boko Haram elements in the Lake Chad area. The strikes focused on the islands of Shilawa (Chilawa), Korongol, and Kournawa in the Diffa region, utilising aerial assets in what authorities described as a “surgical” operation. Military intelligence indicates that Ibrahim Mahamoudou, also known as Abou Oumaima “Bakoura,” was neutralised during the action. Bakoura, a Nigerian national in his early 40s, had led Boko Haram since 2021 and frequently used Shilawa as a refuge.

DRC, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi 22 aug. 2025 12:48

United Nations Security Council Consultation on the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC): Emergency Briefing

On 22 August, the UN Security Council convened an emergency briefing on eastern DRC, responding to surging violence by armed groups, notably the Mouvement du 23 Mars (M23) and the Allied Democratic Forces (ADF). The session, requested by the United States, underscores escalating tensions between Kinshasa and Kigali, amid mutual accusations of proxy support for armed actors.

Mali, Burkina Faso, Niger 19 aug. 2025 23:01

Russia–AES Military Cooperation: Developments and Regional Context

On August 14, 2025, Russia hosted a defence summit with Burkina Faso, Mali, and Niger, the three members of the Alliance of Sahel States (AES). The meeting concluded with the signing of a defence cooperation memorandum, formalizing expanded military collaboration between Moscow and the AES countries.

DRC, Kenya, Rwanda 16 aug. 2025 18:39

Kenya-DRC Diplomatic Tensions Over Goma Consulate Appointment

Kenya’s recent diplomatic moves in the DRC have highlighted the sensitive intersection of diplomacy and security in the Great Lakes region. President William Ruto’s proposals to appoint Ambassador Moni Manyange as Deputy in Kinshasa and Ms. Judy Kiaria as Consul in Goma have triggered contrasting reactions from the DRC government.

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The ASA team has extensive experience working across the African continent, providing in-depth analysis and actionable information on security matters. With offices in nine countries and representation across the continent, we operate in most African nations. We are particularly skilled in the Great Lakes region, the Sahel, and West Africa. Over the years, we have worked with a diverse range of clients, including NGOs, embassies, private companies, and governments. Our expertise enables us to deliver accurate assessments and support decision-making in challenging environments throughout Africa.

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Important decisions demand solid foundations, and that's what we provide. Over the years, we've earned the trust of current, former, and even aspiring presidents, alongside high-ranking military officials, CEOs, and NGOs—something we are deeply proud of.

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We operate in almost all countries in Africa, including high-risk environments, monitoring and analyze ongoing conflicts, the hotspots and the potential upcoming threats on the continent. Every day. Around the clock.